โš”๏ธ CompetitiveDifficulty 7.4/12

Group I

FIFA World Cup 2026 ยท 4 teams ยท 6 matches ยท Top 2 advance

4

Teams

6

Matches

2

Advance

7.4

Difficulty

5.5

Avg Power

Standings

Pre-tournament projection based on Power Index. Updated as matches are played.

#TeamPWDLGDPtsPower
1
FRA flag
FranceELITE
0000008.1
2
NGA flag
NigeriaUNDERDOG
0000004.5
3
NZL flag
New ZealandUNDERDOG
0000003.8
Top 2 advance 3rd may qualify (best 8 of 12) Eliminated

Group Difficulty

7.4

โš”๏ธ Competitive

Avg Power: 5.5 ยท Std Dev: 1.88 ยท Score: 5.5 + 1.88 = 7.4

FRA flag
France
8.1
NGA flag
Nigeria
4.5
NZL flag
New Zealand
3.8

Formula (WC26-GA-v1.0)

DifficultyScore = avg(PowerIndex) + stdDev(PowerIndex) = 5.5 + 1.88 = 7.4

Group Outlook

Group I features strong competition across all four teams. France enters as the strongest side (Power 8.1, #4 overall). Nigeria (4.5) is the likely challenger for second place. The lower-ranked sides face an uphill battle but could produce surprises in individual matches.

Generated deterministically from Power Index WC26-PI-v1.0. Not AI opinion.

Team-by-Team Analysis

FRA flag

France

ELITE8.1

France enters Group I as one of the tournament favorites, ranked top in the group with a Power Index of 8.1. Their UEFA pedigree brings deep World Cup experience to the competition. Key strengths include a top-tier FIFA ranking (10/10), excellent squad depth (9/10), a massive global fanbase (9/10), a storied World Cup pedigree (8/10). This well-rounded profile makes them dangerous in any group stage scenario. As the group favorite, France will be expected to top the group. The biggest challenge comes from Nigeria (PI: 4.5), who are only 3.6 points behind. A slip against New Zealand could complicate advancement. Expect strong fan turnout for France matches โ€” their global following ensures electric atmospheres at every group game. This is one of the most-watched teams in the tournament.

Tournament favorite (top-10 FIFA)Favorable group drawDeep World Cup pedigreeMassive global following
NGA flag

Nigeria

UNDERDOG4.5

Nigeria enters Group I as an underdog facing a significant challenge, ranked second in the group with a Power Index of 4.5. Their CAF pedigree brings limited World Cup history but fresh energy to the competition. Nigeria are well-positioned for the second qualifying spot but face stiff competition from France (PI: 8.1). The key match will likely be against the group leader, where closing the 3.6-point Power Index gap on the pitch will be essential. Nigeria may not command the biggest crowds, but underdog narratives drive some of the best World Cup moments. A strong opening result could galvanize both the team and neutral supporters.

NZL flag

New Zealand

UNDERDOG3.8

New Zealand enters Group I as an underdog facing a significant challenge, ranked third in the group with a Power Index of 3.8. Their OFC pedigree brings limited World Cup history but fresh energy to the competition. Qualification will be challenging for New Zealand, sitting 4.3 Power Index points behind the group leaders. However, the expanded format โ€” where the best 8 third-placed teams advance โ€” gives them a realistic path to the Round of 32. Beating Nigeria and competing closely with the top seeds could be enough. New Zealand may not command the biggest crowds, but underdog narratives drive some of the best World Cup moments. A strong opening result could galvanize both the team and neutral supporters.

Lower-ranked โ€” upset potential if drawn

Group Matches

Match schedule will be confirmed after group draw finalization.

6 group matches will be played. Each team faces the other three once.

FRA flag
FrancevsNigeria
NGA flag
FRA flag
FrancevsNew Zealand
NZL flag
NGA flag
NigeriavsNew Zealand
NZL flag

Teams in Group I

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Group analysis powered by Power Index WC26-PI-v1.0. Difficulty scores are deterministic. SeatNav is not affiliated with FIFA.