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Power Index

Every team ranked by composite intelligence. FIFA ranking, group draw difficulty, squad depth, global fan base, and World Cup pedigree — weighted into a single score.

FIFA Ranking 40%Group Draw 20%Squad Depth 15%Fan Base 15%WC History 10%
👑ELITE(5)
⭐CONTENDER(11)
⚡DARK HORSE(8)
🎯UNDERDOG(18)
1
ARG flag
10
Argentina👑 ELITE

Group H · CONMEBOL

8.6
2
BRA flag
10
Brazil👑 ELITE

Group F · CONMEBOL

8.4
3
BEL flag
10
Belgium👑 ELITE

Group L · UEFA

8.2
4
FRA flag
10
France👑 ELITE

Group I · UEFA

8.1
5
ENG flag
10
England👑 ELITE

Group J · UEFA

8
6
NED flag
10
Netherlands⭐ CONTENDER

Group E · UEFA

7.8
7
GER flag
10
Germany⭐ CONTENDER

Group D · UEFA

7.7
8
CRO flag
10
Croatia⭐ CONTENDER

Group L · UEFA

7.6
9
ESP flag
10
Spain⭐ CONTENDER

Group G · UEFA

7.5
10
URU flag
10
Uruguay⭐ CONTENDER

Group L · CONMEBOL

7.1
11
POR flag
10
Portugal⭐ CONTENDER

Group K · UEFA

7
12
COL flag
10
Colombia⭐ CONTENDER

Group G · CONMEBOL

6.9
13
MEX flag
10
Mexico⭐ CONTENDER

Group A · CONCACAF

6.6
14
MAR flag
10
Morocco⭐ CONTENDER

Group F · CAF

6.6
15
USA flag
10
United States⭐ CONTENDER

Group C · CONCACAF

6.5
16
JPN flag
10
Japan⭐ CONTENDER

Group E · AFC

6.5
17
SUI flag
10
Switzerland⚡ DARK HORSE

Group B · UEFA

6.4
18
AUT flag
10
Austria⚡ DARK HORSE

Group L · UEFA

6
19
IRN flag
10
Iran⚡ DARK HORSE

Group H · AFC

5.8
20
AUS flag
10
Australia⚡ DARK HORSE

Group C · AFC

5.4
21
KOR flag
10
South Korea⚡ DARK HORSE

Group A · AFC

5.3
22
CAN flag
10
Canada⚡ DARK HORSE

Group B · CONCACAF

5.3
23
TUN flag
10
Tunisia⚡ DARK HORSE

Group E · CAF

5
24
NOR flag
10
Norway⚡ DARK HORSE

Group H · UEFA

5
25
SEN flag
10
Senegal🎯 UNDERDOG

Group J · CAF

4.9
26
SCO flag
10
Scotland🎯 UNDERDOG

Group F · UEFA

4.8
27
CMR flag
10
Cameroon🎯 UNDERDOG

Group H · CAF

4.8
28
QAT flag
10
Qatar🎯 UNDERDOG

Group B · AFC

4.5
29
NGA flag
10
Nigeria🎯 UNDERDOG

Group I · CAF

4.5
30
ECU flag
10
Ecuador🎯 UNDERDOG

Group D · CONMEBOL

4.3
31
PAR flag
10
Paraguay🎯 UNDERDOG

Group C · CONMEBOL

4
32
CIV flag
10
Ivory Coast🎯 UNDERDOG

Group D · CAF

3.8
33
NZL flag
10
New Zealand🎯 UNDERDOG

Group I · OFC

3.8
34
MLI flag
10
Mali🎯 UNDERDOG

Group K · CAF

3.8
35
KSA flag
10
Saudi Arabia🎯 UNDERDOG

Group K · AFC

3.7
36
RSA flag
10
South Africa🎯 UNDERDOG

Group A · CAF

3.6
37
PAN flag
10
Panama🎯 UNDERDOG

Group J · CONCACAF

3.5
38
HAI flag
10
Haiti🎯 UNDERDOG

Group F · CONCACAF

3.2
39
JOR flag
10
Jordan🎯 UNDERDOG

Group J · AFC

3.2
40
UZB flag
10
Uzbekistan🎯 UNDERDOG

Group G · AFC

2.8
41
CUW flag
10
Curaçao🎯 UNDERDOG

Group D · CONCACAF

2.4
42
CPV flag
10
Cape Verde🎯 UNDERDOG

Group G · CAF

2.3

Key Signals

🏆 Title Contenders

Argentina8.6Brazil8.4Belgium8.2France8.1England8

⚡ Dark Horses to Watch

Switzerland6.4Austria6Iran5.8Australia5.4South Korea5.3

🔥 Toughest Groups

Group L28.9Group H24.2Group F23.0Group J19.6
Full ScheduleAll TeamsTournament Hub

Methodology (WC26-PI-v1.0)

Last updated: 2026-02-18

PowerIndex = 0.4 × R + 0.2 × G + 0.15 × S + 0.15 × M + 0.1 × H

R
FIFA Ranking Score40%

FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking position mapped to 0–10 via defined thresholds (1–5→10, 6–10→9, etc).

Source: fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking

G
Group Draw Difficulty20%

Average FIFA ranking of group opponents. Harder group = higher score (team survives tougher draw).

Source: Final Draw, Dec 2025

S
Squad Depth15%

v1.0: derived from FIFA ranking tier. v1.1 planned: TransferMarkt normalized market value.

Source: Ranking-derived (v1.0)

M
Market Demand15%

Editorial estimate of global fan base, social media following, TV viewership, and prior ticket demand.

Source: Editorial corpus

H
World Cup History10%

Weighted tournament performance: titles ×3, finals ×2, semi-finals ×1.5, quarter-finals ×1. Normalized.

Source: FIFA.com historical records

ℹ️ Tier Classification

Elite (≥8.0) · Contender (≥6.5) · Dark Horse (≥5.0) · Underdog (<5.0)

Limitations (v1.0)

Squad Depth is ranking-derived, not market-value based. No recent form data (W/L/D last 10 matches). Market Demand is editorial, not fully data-driven. Group Difficulty doesn't account for unresolved playoff teams.

Power Index WC26-PI-v1.0 is SeatNav's deterministic intelligence score. Same inputs always produce the same output. Methodology is public and versionable. SeatNav is not affiliated with FIFA.