โš–๏ธ BalancedDifficulty 6.3/12

Group C

FIFA World Cup 2026 ยท 4 teams ยท 6 matches ยท Top 2 advance

4

Teams

6

Matches

2

Advance

6.3

Difficulty

5.3

Avg Power

Standings

Pre-tournament projection based on Power Index. Updated as matches are played.

#TeamPWDLGDPtsPower
1
USA flag
United StatesCONTENDER
0000006.5
2
AUS flag
AustraliaDARK HORSE
0000005.4
3
PAR flag
ParaguayUNDERDOG
0000004
Top 2 advance 3rd may qualify (best 8 of 12) Eliminated

Group Difficulty

6.3

โš–๏ธ Balanced

Avg Power: 5.3 ยท Std Dev: 1.02 ยท Score: 5.3 + 1.02 = 6.3

USA flag
United States
6.5
AUS flag
Australia
5.4
PAR flag
Paraguay
4

Formula (WC26-GA-v1.0)

DifficultyScore = avg(PowerIndex) + stdDev(PowerIndex) = 5.3 + 1.02 = 6.3

Group Outlook

Group C presents a balanced draw with clear tiers. United States enters as the strongest side (Power 6.5, #15 overall). Australia and Paraguay compete closely for the second qualifying position. Australia could be the wildcard โ€” positioned to disrupt the favorites.

Generated deterministically from Power Index WC26-PI-v1.0. Not AI opinion.

Team-by-Team Analysis

USA flag

United States

CONTENDER6.5

United States enters Group C as a strong contender with realistic knockout ambitions, ranked top in the group with a Power Index of 6.5. Their CONCACAF pedigree brings meaningful tournament experience to the competition. Key strengths include a top-tier FIFA ranking (8/10), excellent squad depth (7/10), a massive global fanbase (8/10). This well-rounded profile makes them dangerous in any group stage scenario. As the group favorite, United States will be expected to top the group. The biggest challenge comes from Australia (PI: 5.4), who are only 1.1 points behind. A slip against Paraguay could complicate advancement. Expect strong fan turnout for United States matches โ€” their global following ensures electric atmospheres at every group game. This is one of the most-watched teams in the tournament.

Favorable group drawMassive global followingHost nation โ€” home advantage
AUS flag

Australia

DARK HORSE5.4

Australia enters Group C as a dark horse capable of springing surprises, ranked second in the group with a Power Index of 5.4. Their AFC pedigree brings limited World Cup history but fresh energy to the competition. Australia are well-positioned for the second qualifying spot but face stiff competition from United States (PI: 6.5). The key match will likely be against the group leader, where closing the 1.1-point Power Index gap on the pitch will be essential. Australia may not command the biggest crowds, but underdog narratives drive some of the best World Cup moments. A strong opening result could galvanize both the team and neutral supporters.

โšก Dark horse โ€” capable of surprise run
PAR flag

Paraguay

UNDERDOG4

Paraguay enters Group C as an underdog facing a significant challenge, ranked third in the group with a Power Index of 4. Their CONMEBOL pedigree brings limited World Cup history but fresh energy to the competition. Qualification will be challenging for Paraguay, sitting 2.5 Power Index points behind the group leaders. However, the expanded format โ€” where the best 8 third-placed teams advance โ€” gives them a realistic path to the Round of 32. Beating Australia and competing closely with the top seeds could be enough. Paraguay may not command the biggest crowds, but underdog narratives drive some of the best World Cup moments. A strong opening result could galvanize both the team and neutral supporters.

Lower-ranked โ€” upset potential if drawn

Group Matches

Match schedule will be confirmed after group draw finalization.

6 group matches will be played. Each team faces the other three once.

USA flag
United StatesvsAustralia
AUS flag
USA flag
United StatesvsParaguay
PAR flag
AUS flag
AustraliavsParaguay
PAR flag

Teams in Group C

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Group analysis powered by Power Index WC26-PI-v1.0. Difficulty scores are deterministic. SeatNav is not affiliated with FIFA.